OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

0

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Australian Online Retail Sees Continued Growth in May Amidst Nationwide Spending Surge 03 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori Australian online retail sales experienced a modest rise in May, as consumers continued to invest in fashion, games, and toys. According to the latest figures from the National Australia Bank, there was a 0.7% increase in online sales for the month, compared to a 1.1% growth in April. Over the past year, Australians have spent approximately $63 billion on online retail purchases. - read more

Pay Boosts and Policy Changes: A Closer Look at Financial Updates for Australian Workers 03 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori The starting days of the new financial year bring significant changes for Australian workers, particularly those on minimum wage. As of Tuesday, the minimum wage will rise by 3.5 per cent, increasing hourly earnings to $24.95, or $948 weekly. This adjustment also affects award wages and comes as a response to rising living costs, outpacing current inflation rates. - read more

US Dollar Faces Historic Decline Amid Trump’s Tariff Policies 03 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori The US dollar has experienced an unprecedented decline, marking its worst first-half performance since 1973. Concerns surrounding President Donald Trump's tariff policies have intensified, leading to a substantial drop in the value of the world's primary reserve currency. Specifically, the dollar weakened by 10.7% against a basket of major trading partners' currencies in the first six months of the year, reminiscent of Nixon's era when the dollar was untethered from gold. - read more

Auditor Deregistered After Brite Advisers Collapse 30 Jun 2025: Paige Estritori The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has deregistered auditor David Makowa, previously of DM Advisory Services, due to his role in the downfall of financial advice firm Brite Advisers. This decision follows Makowa's acceptance of a court-enforceable undertaking in which he agreed to surrender his auditor registration permanently, pledging never to re-apply. - read more

US Involvement in Israel-Iran Conflict Sparks Financial Market Concerns 23 Jun 2025: Paige Estritori The escalating likelihood of the United States engaging militarily in the Israel-Iran conflict has raised alarm among investors, potentially leading to significant market volatility. This concern was highlighted by the global financial advisory firm, deVere Group, as tensions heighten in the Middle East. - read more

Global Markets Brace for Oil Price Surge Following US Strike on Iran 23 Jun 2025: Paige Estritori The recent US military attack on Iranian nuclear facilities has raised expectations of a significant oil price spike as global markets prepare to resume trading. Announced by former President Donald Trump, the attack marks an increased US involvement in the Middle East, which analysts believe could lead to heightened volatility across financial markets. - read more

Trump Mulls Change of Heart on Firing Fed Chair Powell 21 Jun 2025: Paige Estritori US President Donald Trump is once again contemplating the dismissal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whom he has criticized for not lowering interest rates. Trump expressed his dissatisfaction with Powell's decisions in a Truth Social post, suggesting he might change his mind about firing him. Despite acknowledging that his strong criticisms make Powell's task challenging, Trump remains focused on his agenda for reduced rates, especially with Powell's term set to end in May 2026. - read more