OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

What July’s Car Loan Rate Snapshot Means for Australian Buyers

17 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Fresh July 2026 car loan comparison data points to a competitive market for well-qualified borrowers, with some secured car loan products advertising rates in the mid-five per cent range. For buyers looking at a new or near-new vehicle, that may sound encouraging after a period of higher household costs and tighter lending conditions. But the more useful takeaway is not simply that lower advertised rates exist. - read more

Record June Car Sales Signal a New Finance Landscape

10 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s new-car market has delivered another major signal to borrowers: the vehicle choices shaping car finance are changing quickly. In June 2026, combined new-vehicle deliveries reached 140,058, making it the strongest month recorded for the local market. The headline number matters, but the detail matters even more for buyers planning personal or business car loans. - read more

ASIC Puts Car Finance Providers on Notice Over Loan Costs

03 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

ASIC’s latest review of Australia’s motor finance sector is a timely reminder that the cheapest-looking car loan is not always the fairest or most suitable option. Released on 24 June 2026, the regulator’s report examined more than 350,000 loans across eight car finance providers and found concerns around third-party distribution, fees, hardship support and borrower outcomes. - read more

What AFIA’s Motor Finance Report Means for Car Buyers

19 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s motor finance market is changing quickly, and the latest report from the Australian Finance Industry Association, released on 5 June 2026, puts non-bank vehicle lenders firmly in the spotlight. The report says motor finance non-bank lenders supported 507,000 consumer and commercial vehicle purchases in 2025, with $24.4 billion in new loans and $53 billion in active loan balances at year end. - read more

GWM's EOFY 2026 Deals: Low-Rate Finance and New EV Launch

12 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

As the end of the financial year approaches, GWM has unveiled enticing offers for Australian car buyers, focusing on both traditional and electric vehicle (EV) markets. These promotions are designed to cater to a diverse range of consumers, from those seeking low-interest financing to individuals interested in the latest EV models. - read more

RBA Maintains Cash Rate at 4.35% Amidst Economic Challenges

12 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In its June 2026 meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep the official cash rate steady at 4.35%. This decision comes after a series of rate hikes earlier in the year, reflecting the central bank's cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties. - read more

Peter Warren Automotive Adjusts Profit Expectations Amid Market Challenges

12 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Peter Warren Automotive Holdings, a prominent Australian dealer group, has revised its profit forecast for the fiscal year 2026, projecting an underlying profit before tax between $12 million and $15 million. This adjustment reflects the company's response to challenging market conditions that have impacted trading margins and overall financial performance. - read more

Click for more Finance News