Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Record June Car Sales Signal a New Finance Landscape

10 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s new-car market has delivered another major signal to borrowers: the vehicle choices shaping car finance are changing quickly. In June 2026, combined new-vehicle deliveries reached 140,058, making it the strongest month recorded for the local market. The headline number matters, but the detail matters even more for buyers planning personal or business car loans. - read more

ASIC Puts Car Finance Providers on Notice Over Loan Costs

03 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

ASIC’s latest review of Australia’s motor finance sector is a timely reminder that the cheapest-looking car loan is not always the fairest or most suitable option. Released on 24 June 2026, the regulator’s report examined more than 350,000 loans across eight car finance providers and found concerns around third-party distribution, fees, hardship support and borrower outcomes. - read more

What AFIA’s Motor Finance Report Means for Car Buyers

19 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s motor finance market is changing quickly, and the latest report from the Australian Finance Industry Association, released on 5 June 2026, puts non-bank vehicle lenders firmly in the spotlight. The report says motor finance non-bank lenders supported 507,000 consumer and commercial vehicle purchases in 2025, with $24.4 billion in new loans and $53 billion in active loan balances at year end. - read more

GWM's EOFY 2026 Deals: Low-Rate Finance and New EV Launch

12 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

As the end of the financial year approaches, GWM has unveiled enticing offers for Australian car buyers, focusing on both traditional and electric vehicle (EV) markets. These promotions are designed to cater to a diverse range of consumers, from those seeking low-interest financing to individuals interested in the latest EV models. - read more

RBA Maintains Cash Rate at 4.35% Amidst Economic Challenges

12 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In its June 2026 meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep the official cash rate steady at 4.35%. This decision comes after a series of rate hikes earlier in the year, reflecting the central bank's cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties. - read more

Peter Warren Automotive Adjusts Profit Expectations Amid Market Challenges

12 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Peter Warren Automotive Holdings, a prominent Australian dealer group, has revised its profit forecast for the fiscal year 2026, projecting an underlying profit before tax between $12 million and $15 million. This adjustment reflects the company's response to challenging market conditions that have impacted trading margins and overall financial performance. - read more

Toyota Boosts Australian Supply with 10,000 Extra Vehicles in 2026

05 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In a strategic move to address growing consumer demand and intensifying competition, Toyota Australia has secured an additional 10,000 vehicles for the 2026 market. This increase elevates the company's full-year sales forecast to 220,000 units, with popular models such as the RAV4, HiLux, and the all-electric bZ4X set to benefit from the expanded supply. - read more

Click for more Finance News