Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

0

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

ASIC's Comprehensive Review Targets Motor Vehicle Finance Practices

17 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has embarked on a thorough review of the motor vehicle finance sector, aiming to bolster consumer protections, particularly for individuals in regional and remote areas, including First Nations communities. This initiative underscores ASIC's commitment to ensuring fair and responsible lending practices across the nation. - read more

Bank Australia Ends Financing for New Fossil Fuel Vehicles

17 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

In a bold move towards sustainability, Bank Australia has ceased offering loans for new petrol, diesel, and hybrid vehicles as of February 2025. This strategic decision aligns with the bank's commitment to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2035 and underscores its dedication to promoting environmentally friendly transportation options. - read more

Surge in Car Loan Delinquencies Sparks Financial Sector Worries

17 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

Australia is witnessing a notable increase in car loan delinquencies, with a corresponding rise in vehicle repossessions and auctions. This trend is raising alarms about the financial well-being of consumers and potential ripple effects on the broader financial sector. - read more

Macquarie Bank Shifts Strategy: Exits Car Loans to Prioritise Mortgages

09 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

In a significant strategic shift, Macquarie Bank has announced its decision to cease offering car loans, redirecting its focus towards expanding its mortgage and deposit services. This move is set to result in the loss of approximately 100 jobs within the bank's automotive lending division. - read more

The Digital Revolution in Auto Financing: A Boon for Australian Car Buyers

09 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

The automotive finance industry in Australia is undergoing a significant digital transformation, offering consumers more streamlined and personalised experiences when securing car loans. This shift is largely driven by fintech companies leveraging advanced technologies to simplify the borrowing process. - read more

Revolutionising the Used Car Market: The Rise of Data-Driven Platforms in Australia

09 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian used car market is experiencing a transformative shift, driven by innovative platforms that leverage data to enhance the car buying experience. One such platform, Carma, is at the forefront of this revolution, offering consumers a seamless online process to purchase quality-assured used vehicles. - read more

Click for more Finance News