RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Chinese Car Brands Unveil Competitive EOFY Finance Offers in Australia

29 May 2026: Paige Estritori

As the end of the financial year (EOFY) approaches, Chinese automotive brands are intensifying their efforts to capture a larger share of the Australian market by introducing a series of aggressive finance deals and incentives. Geely, Omoda-Jaecoo, and JAC have each launched tailored promotions aimed at both private buyers and tradespeople, offering a range of benefits from ultra-low finance rates to complimentary accessories. - read more

Electric Vehicles Capture Record Market Share in April 2026

21 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In April 2026, electric vehicles (EVs) achieved a record-breaking milestone in the Australian automotive market, accounting for 16.4% of all new car sales. This significant increase underscores the growing consumer shift towards sustainable transportation options. - read more

Upcoming Changes to Electric Vehicle Tax Discounts in Australia

21 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian government has announced a phased reduction of tax discounts for electric vehicles (EVs), aiming to balance fiscal sustainability with the promotion of sustainable transportation. This decision is expected to influence the affordability and adoption rates of EVs in the coming years. - read more

Subaru Launches Uncharted AWD Electric SUV in Australia

21 May 2026: Paige Estritori

Subaru Australia has officially opened pre-orders for its inaugural dedicated electric SUV, the Uncharted AWD. Priced at $59,990 plus on-road costs, this launch marks a significant milestone in Subaru's commitment to sustainable mobility. - read more

Understanding the RBA's May 2026 Cash Rate Increase

13 May 2026: Paige Estritori

On 5 May 2026, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced a 25 basis point increase to the official cash rate, bringing it to 4.35%. This marks the third consecutive rate hike this year, following increases in February and March. The decision aims to address rising inflation, which reached 4.6% in March, driven in part by escalating fuel prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. - read more

Surge in Electric Vehicle Sales: A New Era for Australia's Car Market

13 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In April 2026, electric vehicles (EVs) accounted for 16.4% of all new car sales in Australia, marking a significant milestone in the nation's automotive industry. This surge is attributed to a combination of factors, including improved vehicle supply, rising fuel prices, and supportive government policies. - read more

Navigating EOFY 2026: Optimal Timing for Tradie Ute Finance Applications

13 May 2026: Paige Estritori

As the end of the financial year (EOFY) approaches, tradies planning to finance a new ute or work vehicle should be mindful of potential processing delays and interest rate fluctuations. Early application is crucial to ensure timely approval and delivery before the 30 June deadline. - read more

Click for more Finance News